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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Rotherham logo

Wigan
1 - 0
Rotherham

Carragher (36')
Mellish (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sibley (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Wigan
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 3-3 Mansfield
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wigan Athletic in this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawRotherham United
38.39% (-0.139 -0.14)27.62% (-0.041 -0.04)33.98% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.78% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (0.183 0.18)56.96% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.13% (0.146 0.15)77.87% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.78% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)64.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.214 0.21)31.52% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.245 0.24)67.91% (-0.244 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 38.39%
    Rotherham United 33.98%
    Draw 27.62%
Wigan AthleticDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 38.39%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.05% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.98%

How you voted: Wigan vs Rotherham

Wigan Athletic
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rotherham United
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Rotherham
0-1
Wigan

Rafferty (55')
Adeeko (45+3')
Weir (90+3')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Wigan
0-0
Rotherham
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Rotherham
0-2
Wigan
Keane (12'), Naylor (84')
Feb 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Rotherham
1-1
Wigan
Rathbone (75')
Ihiekwe (73'), Wiles (90+1')
Humphrys (28')
McClean (52'), Lang (68'), Rea (90+4'), Massey (90+6')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Wigan
1-0
Rotherham
Keane (90+5')
Robinson (25'), Wyke (45+1'), Lang (75'), Massey (87')

Harding (54')