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League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Rotherham logo

Bolton
0 - 1
Rotherham


Baxter (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nombe (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawRotherham United
52.3% (2.778 2.78)23.99% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)23.71% (-2.688 -2.69)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-2.468 -2.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (-1.962 -1.96)47.68% (1.961 1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-1.839 -1.84)69.88% (1.836 1.84)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.325 0.33)18.2% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (0.55399999999999 0.55)49.21% (-0.556 -0.56)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-3.291 -3.29)34.45% (3.29 3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (-3.667 -3.67)71.16% (3.666 3.67)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.3%
    Rotherham United 23.71%
    Draw 23.99%
Bolton WanderersDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.946 0.95)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.895 0.9)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.17% (0.557 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.258 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.3%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.496 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.41 -0.41)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.551 -0.55)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.333 -0.33)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 23.71%

How you voted: Bolton vs Rotherham

Bolton Wanderers
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Rotherham United
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Rotherham
3-1
Bolton
Wilks (34' pen.), James (45+6'), Nombe (75')
Humphreys (15'), Evans (16')
McAtee (86')
Santos (33')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Rotherham
2-1
Bolton
Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bolton
0-2
Rotherham

Afolayan (64'), Williams (89'), Jones (90+5')
Wiles (18', 21')
Wood (6'), Mattock (51'), Harding (79')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
P-P
Rotherham
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
6-1
Bolton
Wiles (14'), Ladapo (27', 53'), Morris (40', 55'), Hastie (65')
Lindsay (37'), Crooks (77')
rhs 2.0


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