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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Mansfield Town

Rotherham
3 - 3
Mansfield

Wilks (17', 66'), Nombe (36')
Douglas (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Maris (8'), Flint (77'), Bowery (87')
Cargill (24'), Reed (27'), Oshilaja (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 3-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 2-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMansfield Town
37.33% (0.84 0.84)25.52% (0.291 0.29)37.15% (-1.137 -1.14)
Both teams to score 55.91% (-1.002 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.97% (-1.295 -1.3)48.03% (1.291 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.8% (-1.202 -1.2)70.19% (1.197 1.2)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)25.17% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)59.9% (0.176 0.18)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-1.207 -1.21)25.27% (1.204 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-1.687 -1.69)60.03% (1.682 1.68)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.33%
    Mansfield Town 37.15%
    Draw 25.52%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.429 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.275 0.27)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.165 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.212 -0.21)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 37.15%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Mansfield

Rotherham United
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Mansfield Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Mansfield
1-0
Rotherham
Oshilaja (27')
Lewis (59')
Aug 20, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Rotherham
2-0
Mansfield
Hugill (3', 54')
Bramall (52'), James (73')
MacDonald (69')

McLaughlin (45+1'), MacDonald (90+2')
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Mansfield
2-4
Rotherham
Quinn (4'), Oates (41')
Kilgour (31')
Trialist (1'), Kelly (26', 54', 57')
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Mansfield
1-1
Rotherham
Oates (86')
Kayode (60')
Jul 28, 2018 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Mansfield
2-1
Rotherham
Davies (9' pen.), Walker (41')
Raggett (12')
rhs 2.0


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