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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 10, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Getafe logo

Valencia
3 - 0
Getafe

Pepelu (8' pen., 8' pen.), Lopez (18'), Duro (37' pen.)
Lopez (50'), Guerra (72'), Tarrega (76')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Alderete (7'), Rico (26'), Duarte (35'), Soria (50'), Berrocal (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 2-3 Valencia
Saturday, May 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Getafe
Friday, May 2 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 27.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawGetafe
43.91% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)28.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.18% (0.081 0.08)
Both teams to score 42.72% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.7% (0.050999999999995 0.05)63.3% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.32% (0.036000000000001 0.04)82.68% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)28.74% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)64.58% (0.017999999999986 0.02)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.95% (0.095999999999997 0.1)40.05% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (0.09 0.09)76.69% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.91%
    Getafe 27.18%
    Draw 28.9%
ValenciaDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 14.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.9%
0-1 @ 10.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 27.18%

How you voted: Valencia vs Getafe

Valencia
82.2%
Draw
13.3%
Getafe
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Getafe
1-1
Valencia
Arambarri (90' pen.)
Perez (44'), Nyom (90+2'), Dakonam (90+2')
Barrenechea (36')
Mosquera (41'), Lopez (42'), Correia (45+1'), Rioja (54'), Foulquier (65'), Barrenechea (67'), Duro (88')
Mar 9, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 28
Valencia
1-0
Getafe
Duro (40')
Pepelu (67'), Guillamon (90')

Moriba (43'), Angel Carmona (78'), Dakonam (82')
Dec 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Getafe
1-0
Valencia
Mayoral (87')
Milla (57'), Dakonam (62')
Duarte (90+2')

Correia (42'), Paulista (43'), Baraja (43'), Foulquier (90+3')
Paulista (50'), Guerra (88')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Getafe
1-0
Valencia
Mayoral (82')
Sep 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Valencia
5-1
Getafe
Lato (7'), Lino (14'), Castillejo (16'), Gonzalez (65'), Duro (68')
Alvarez (78')
rhs 2.0


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