Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Getafe |
| 39.39% ( | 29.06% ( | 31.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.58% ( | 62.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.96% ( | 82.04% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% | 30.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.84% ( | 67.16% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.92% ( | 36.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.14% ( | 72.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 1.57% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-2 @ 4% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 11.35% 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.54% |