Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.