La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 8, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 0
Villarreal

Sanchez (11')
Blanco (77'), Rodriguez Gimenez (90+1'), Diarra (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pino (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Villarreal
23.53% ( 0.01)	26.76% ( -0)	49.71% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.37% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.56% (

0.01)

58.44% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.97% (

0.01)

79.03% (

-0.01)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.4% (

0.02)

40.6% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.8% (

0.01)

77.2% (

-0.01)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

23.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28% (

57.72% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Alaves 23.53%

Villarreal 49.71%

Draw 26.76%

Alaves	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 5.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 23.53%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 13.84% 0-2 @ 9.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9% 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.71%