La Liga Gameweek 27
Alaves
Mar 8, 2025 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Villarreal
  • Manu Sanchez 11' goal
  • Antonio Sivera 58' redcard
  • Antonio Blanco 77' yellowcard
  • Adrian Rodriguez Gimenez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diarra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 70'

Alaves vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 5.30pm
Mallorca 1 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kike

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 3.15pm
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Villarreal
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Ayoze Perez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Alaves 23.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 26.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Villarreal 49.71% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 58.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 20.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 79.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 59.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 40.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 22.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.2% ▼ (-0.02)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 76.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.63%
Over 1.5 42.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.72% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Alaves 23.53%
Draw 26.76%
Villarreal 49.71%
Alaves
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.76%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 13.84%
0-2 @ 9.98% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9%
0-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.71%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 13
Villarreal
Nov 9, 2024 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves
  • Ilias Akhomach 38' goal
  • Sergi Cardona 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 81' goal
  • Santi Comesana 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 62'
  • yellowcard Carlos Martin 74'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Tenaglia 83'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Alaves
Feb 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Villarreal
  • Samu Omorodion 25' goal
  • Luis Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Cuenca 42'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cuenca 44'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 71'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Villarreal
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves
  • Alfonso Pedraza 9' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 23' yellowcard
  • Kiko Femenia 35' yellowcard
  • Santi Comesana 58' yellowcard
  • Gerard Moreno 65' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 14'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sivera 33'
  • yellowcard Abdel Abqar 36'
  • goal Samu Omorodion 48'
La Liga Gameweek 34
Alaves
Apr 30, 2022 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Villarreal
  • Victor Laguardia 4' goal
  • Gonzalo Escalante 31' goal
  • Manu Garcia 52' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Escalante 69' yellowcard
  • Victor Laguardia 80' yellowcard
  • Ruben Duarte 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jason 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boulaye Dia 41'
  • goal Samuel Chukwueze 47'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 76'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 86'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Villarreal
Dec 21, 2021 6.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Alaves
  • Gerard Moreno 18' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 27' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 76' goal
  • Yeremi Pino 79' goal
  • Gerard Moreno 88' goal
  • goal Pere Pons 44'
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Javier Calleja 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 49'
  • goal Joselu 65'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Alaves
Apr 21, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Villarreal
  • Joselu 17' goal
  • Manu Garcia 69' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 74' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 80' goal
  • goal Paco Alcacer 50'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Pedraza 63'

Form Data

Mallorca 1 - 1 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 1 Espanyol
Leganes 3 - 3 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 1 Getafe
Barcelona 1 - 0 Alaves
Alaves 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Villarreal
Villarreal 1 - 1 Valencia
Las Palmas 1 - 2 Villarreal
Villarreal 5 - 1 Valladolid
Atletico 1 - 1 Villarreal
Villarreal 4 - 0 Mallorca