La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 19, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Pathe Ciss 28' yellowcard
  • Cesar Tarrega 45' goal
  • Florian Lejeune 49' yellowcard
  • Pep Chavarria 82' yellowcard
  • goal Umar Sadiq 75'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 90'

Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2025 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2025 8.00pm
Valencia 1 - 0 Sevilla
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 46.56% (+0.32)
Draw 25.82% (-0.34)
Valencia 27.62% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.52% (+1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.83% (+1.34)
Under 2.5 52.17% (-1.33)
Over 3.5 26.11% (+1.14)
Under 3.5 73.89% (-1.14)
Over 4.5 12.07% (+0.74)
Under 4.5 87.93% (-0.73)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 77.61% (+0.72)
Under 0.5 22.39% (-0.71)
Over 1.5 44.1% (+1.06)
Under 1.5 55.9% (-1.05)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 66.39% (+0.73)
Under 0.5 33.61% (-0.73)
Over 1.5 29.74% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 70.26% (-0.78)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 46.56%
Draw 25.81%
Valencia 27.62%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.36)
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.58% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 4.2% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.72% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.57% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 46.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.41)
2-2 @ 5.01% (+0.15)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.81%
Valencia
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 6.69% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.43% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.62%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Giorgi Mamardashvili 52' yellowcard
  • Yarek Gasiorowski 72' yellowcard
  • goal Pathe Ciss 7'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 52'
  • yellowcard Isi 71'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Thierry Correia 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 32'
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarria 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Kike Perez 70' yellowcard
  • Randy Nteka 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamon 34'
  • yellowcard Jesus Vazquez 50'
  • goal Sergi Canos 61'
  • yellowcard Selim Amallah 75'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 81'
  • redcard Thierry Correia 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mouctar Diakhaby 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Apr 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Justin Kluivert 82' goal
  • goal Santi Comesana 9'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Isi 5' goal
  • Nico Gonzalez 52' goal
  • goal Mouctar Diakhaby 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 11, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Unai Lopez 5' yellowcard
  • Sergi Guardiola 83' goal
  • Ivan Balliu 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Catena 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 8'
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 42'
  • goal Carlos Soler 57'
  • yellowcard Maranhao 74'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 90'+9'