La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Mar 29, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
0 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Cabanes De La Torre (16'), Mourino (77'), Tenaglia (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ciss (2'), Diaz (58')
Fernandez Balboa (8'), Nteka (36'), Valentin (42'), Batalla (62'), Hernandez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 2-2 Alaves
Friday, March 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, March 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
35.61% ( 0.02)	28.54% ( 0.01)	35.85% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 46.19% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.77% (

-0.04)

60.22% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.59% (

-0.03)

80.41% (

0.03)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.88% (

-0)

32.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.41% (

-0.01)

68.59% (

0.01)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-0.05)

31.96% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58% (

-0.05)

68.42% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Alaves 35.6%

Rayo Vallecano 35.84%

Draw 28.53%

Alaves	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.6%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 11.7% 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.84%