La Liga Gameweek 29
Alaves
Mar 29, 2025 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Rayo Vallecano
  • Pau Cabanes De La Torre 16' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mourino 77' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 80' yellowcard
  • goal Pathe Ciss 2'
  • yellowcard Pelayo Fernandez Balboa 8'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 36'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 42'
  • goal Pedro Diaz 58'
  • yellowcard Augusto Batalla 62'
  • yellowcard Aridane Hernandez 78'

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2025 8.00pm
Las Palmas 2 - 2 Alaves
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kike

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 2 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result

Alaves 35.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 28.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Rayo Vallecano 35.85% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.19% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 60.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 8.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 91.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 67.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.59% ▲ (+0.01)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 68.04% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 31.96% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 31.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 68.42% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Alaves 35.6%
Draw 28.53%
Rayo Vallecano 35.84%
Alaves
1-0 @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.53%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.84%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 11
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 26, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Alaves
  • Abdul Mumin 22' redcard
  • Unai Lopez 49' yellowcard
  • Antonio Sivera 80' goal
  • Pep Chavarria 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manu Sanchez 50'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diarra 67'
  • yellowcard Jon Guridi 77'
  • yellowcard Joan Jordan 88'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Alaves
Mar 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Rayo Vallecano
  • Abdel Abqar 28' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 44' goal
  • Antonio Blanco 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isi 13'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 30'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 15, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Alaves
  • Aridane Hernandez 19' yellowcard
  • Isi 43' goal
  • Jorge de Frutos 82' goal
  • Raul de Tomas 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 23'
  • yellowcard Luis Garcia 24'
  • yellowcard Alex Sola 41'
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Alaves
Apr 16, 2022 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Rayo Vallecano
  • Gonzalo Escalante 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Joselu 64' goal
  • Ruben Duarte 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 55'
  • redcard Ivan Balliu 88'
  • yellowcard Nikola Maras 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Isi 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Rayo Vallecano
Dec 18, 2021 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Alaves
  • Oscar Trejo 10' yellowcard
  • Sergi Guardiola 19' goal
  • Alejandro Catena 26' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 24'
  • yellowcard Tachi 70'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Alaves
Jan 28, 2019 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Rayo Vallecano
  • Guillermo Maripan 57' yellowcard
  • Fernando Pacheco 84' yellowcard
  • goal Raul de Tomas 47'
  • yellowcard Alex Moreno 69'
  • yellowcard Giannelli Imbula 84'
  • yellowcard Santiago Comesana 85'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Medran 89'
  • yellowcard Bebe 90'

Form Data

Las Palmas 2 - 2 Alaves
Alaves 1 - 0 Villarreal
Mallorca 1 - 1 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 1 Espanyol
Leganes 3 - 3 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 1 Getafe
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 2 Real Sociedad
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Villarreal
Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Valladolid