Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.