La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 14, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
2 - 2
Alaves

Silva (90' pen.), Moleiro (90+5')
Munoz (5'), Ramirez (49'), Januzaj (90+3'), Vazquez (90+7'), Fuster (90+10')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (7'), Guridi (63')
Jordan (4'), Martinez (45+1'), Tenaglia (80'), Villalibre (90+9'), Januzaj (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 1-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, March 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Villarreal
Saturday, March 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Alaves
33.33% ( -0.07)	27.12% ( 0.01)	39.54% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.17% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.85% (

-0.06)

55.15% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.61% (

-0.05)

76.39% (

0.05)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97% (

-0.07)

31.03% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66% (

-0.09)

67.34% (

0.09)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

-0)

27.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

-0)

62.68%

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 33.33%

Alaves 39.54%

Draw 27.12%

Las Palmas	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.33%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.54%