La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 13, 2025 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Sancet (58' pen., 90+4'), Williams (80')
Djalo (12'), Vivian (36'), Boiro Boiro (84'), Williams (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ciss (37')
Diaz (50'), Espino (57'), Lopez (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rangers 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, April 10 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-4 Espanyol
Friday, April 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
61.42% ( -0.13)	22.25% ( 0.05)	16.33% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 47.33% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.88% (

-0.09)

50.12% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.91% (

-0.08)

72.09% (

0.07)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.16% (

-0.08)

15.84% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.97% (

-0.14)

45.03% (

0.13)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.24% (

0.04)

43.76% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.07% (

0.04)

79.93% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 61.41%

Rayo Vallecano 16.33%

Draw 22.25%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 61.41%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.25%	0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.33%