La Liga
Gameweek
30
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fathlog.png)
-
Yeremy Pino
76'
-
Pape Gueye
83'
-
Andoni Gorosabel
21'
Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Villarreal
40.57%
▲
(+0.33)
Draw
24.84%
▼
(-0.10)
Athletic Bilbao
34.58%
▼
(-0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
58.01%
▲
(+0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.79%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 2.5
45.21%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 3.5
32.45%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 3.5
67.55%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 4.5
16.4%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 4.5
83.6%
▼
(-0.28)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5
77.77%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
22.23%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
44.34%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 1.5
55.66%
▼
(-0.50)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5
74.59%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
25.41%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
39.77%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
60.23%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Villarreal
40.58%
Draw
24.84%
Athletic Bilbao
34.58%
Villarreal
2-1
@
8.75%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.58%
1-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.58%
Draw
1-1
@
11.63%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.84%
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.84%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
@
7.97%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 34.58%
0-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 34.58%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
16
-
Aitor Paredes
15'
-
Oihan Sancet
55'
-
Benat Prados
68'
-
Inaki Williams
69'
-
Santi Comesana
35'
La Liga
Gameweek
31
-
Benat Prados
10'
-
Inaki Williams
31'
-
Oihan Sancet
66'
-
Yuri Berchiche
90'+4'
-
Raul Albiol
34'
-
Santi Comesana
35'
-
Santi Comesana
46'
-
Dani Parejo
90'+5'
La Liga
Gameweek
12
-
Matteo Gabbia
19'
-
Raul Albiol
72'
-
Aissa Mandi
74'
-
Kiko Femenia
76'
-
Gerard Moreno
86'
-
Alexander Sorloth
87'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
2'
-
Nico Williams
22'
-
Inaki Williams
30'
-
Nico Williams
41'
-
Oscar de Marcos
44'
-
Dani Garcia
89'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
90'+2'
La Liga
Gameweek
34
-
Alex Baena
24'
-
Nicolas Jackson
37'
-
Nicolas Jackson
50'
-
Aitor Paredes
61'
-
Alex Baena
90'
-
Oihan Sancet
45'+3'
La Liga
Gameweek
12
-
Inaki Williams
59'
La Liga
Gameweek
31
-
Alfonso Pedraza
50'
-
Alfonso Pedraza
60'
-
Aissa Mandi
81'
-
Raul Garcia
43'
-
Alex Petxarroman
85'
-
Dani Garcia
90'
-
Oihan Sancet
90'+1'