Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 74.37%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 8.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.83%) and 3-0 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.