Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.