Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.