La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Coliseum Alfonso Perez
  • Luis Milla 87' yellowcard
  • Alvaro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Peter 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Arda Guler 21'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 69'

Getafe vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 8.00pm
Espanyol 1 - 0 Getafe
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Mauro Arambarri

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result

Getafe 20.91% (+0.03)
Draw 23.46% (+0.06)
Real Madrid 55.63% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.68% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.53% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 48.47% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 29.4% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 70.6% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 14.25% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 85.74% (+0.13)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5 62.46% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 37.53% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 25.68% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 74.31% (+0.09)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 82.73% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 17.26% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 52.41% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 47.58% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Getafe 20.91%
Draw 23.45%
Real Madrid 55.63%
Getafe
1-0 @ 6.35% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.11% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.48% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 23.45%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 11.38% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 10% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.85% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.57% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 55.63%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Jude Bellingham 30' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 38' goal
  • Dani Ceballos 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Allan Nyom 11'
  • yellowcard Luis Milla 47'
  • yellowcard Alvaro 59'
  • yellowcard Juan Berrocal 73'
  • yellowcard Diego Rico 75'
  • yellowcard Yellu Santiago 90'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Coliseum Alfonso Perez
  • Djene Dakonam 26' yellowcard
  • goal Joselu 14'
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 30'
  • goal Joselu 56'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Joselu 47' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 51' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Juanmi Latasa 7'
  • goal Borja Mayoral 11'
  • yellowcard David Soria 68'
  • yellowcard Juan Iglesias 81'
  • yellowcard Gaston Alvarez 83'
  • yellowcard Borja Mayoral 87'
  • yellowcard Jose Angel Carmona 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 13, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Marco Asensio 70' goal
La Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
  • goal Eder Militao 3'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 9, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Casemiro 38' goal
  • Casemiro 44' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 45' yellowcard
  • Lucas Vazquez 68' goal
  • yellowcard Mathias Olivera 76'
  • yellowcard Djene Dakonam 79'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups