La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 20, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Junior (80'), Valverde (90+3')
Asencio del Rosario (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunez (63'), Prados (86')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Rangers
Thursday, April 17 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
54.66% ( 0.05)	22.18% ( -0.01)	23.16% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.05% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.82% (

0.04)

40.17% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.45% (

0.03)

62.54% (

-0.03)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33% (

0.03)

14.66% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.18% (

0.05)

42.82% (

-0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

-0)

30.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

-0.01)

67.07% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 54.66%

Athletic Bilbao 23.16%

Draw 22.17%

Real Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 54.66%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.17%	1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 23.16%