Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Rangers had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.