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Athletic Bilbao logo
Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Rangers logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Rangers

Sancet (45+4' pen.), Williams (80')
Sancet (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dessers (19'), Balogun (32'), Tavernier (77')

The Match

Match Report

Barry Ferguson's Rangers are eliminated from the Europa League after losing 2-0 to Ernesto Valverde's Athletic Bilbao at San Mames Barria on Thursday evening.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Athletic Bilbao and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-2 Rangers
Sunday, April 13 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Rangers had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawRangers
56.28% (0.223 0.22) 22% (-0.138 -0.14) 21.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 57.68% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (0.513 0.51)41.08% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (0.523 0.52)63.47% (-0.525 -0.52)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55% (0.245 0.25)14.45% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.59% (0.47600000000001 0.48)42.41% (-0.48 -0.48)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (0.209 0.21)32.58% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (0.233 0.23)69.11% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 56.28%
    Rangers 21.72%
    Draw 21.99%
Athletic BilbaoDrawRangers
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 56.28%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.28% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 21.72%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Rangers

Athletic Bilbao
72.5%
Draw
11.1%
Rangers
16.3%
153
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2025 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Rangers
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Clement (29')
Propper (13')
Ruiz de Galarreta (28'), Sannadi Harrouch (54'), Prados (90+11')
rhs 2.0
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