Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.