Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.