La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 3, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
2 - 3
Valencia

Ramirez (45+2' pen.), McBurnie (83')
Bajcetic (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Duro (22', 58'), Suarez (75' og.)
Guerra (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, April 23 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Espanyol
Tuesday, April 22 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Valencia
34.04% ( 0.55)	25.93% ( 0.09)	40.03% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 54.16% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87% (

-0.27)

50.12% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.91% (

-0.24)

72.09% (

0.23)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

0.21)

28.09% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

0.27)

63.75% (

-0.28)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

-0.45)

24.68% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.79% (

-0.64)

59.21% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 34.04%

Valencia 40.03%

Draw 25.92%

Las Palmas	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.04%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.03%