La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 6, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
1 - 3
Real Sociedad

McBurnie (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Oyarzabal (5'), Gomez (56'), Aramburu (68')
Lopez (45+2'), Martin Vicente (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas
Monday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-4 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, April 1 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Real Sociedad
31.99% ( 1.36)	26.1% ( 0.3)	41.91% ( -1.66)

Both teams to score 53.01% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.66% (

-0.74)

51.34% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.84% (

-0.65)

73.16% (

0.66)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

0.56)

30.01% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87% (

0.66)

66.13% (

-0.66)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74% (

-1.14)

24.26% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.38% (

-1.64)

58.62% (

1.65)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 31.99%

Real Sociedad 41.91%

Draw 26.1%

Las Palmas	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.99%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.91%