Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 58.01% ( | 22.76% ( | 19.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( | 47.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( | 69.98% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( | 16.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.34% ( | 45.66% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.08% ( | 38.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% ( | 75.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 3-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 5-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 58% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.76% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 19.23% |