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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 31, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Las Palmas

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Las Palmas

Alfon (45+2')
Losada (45+4'), Rodriguez Galiano (79'), Lopez Gonzalez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moleiro (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 2-2 Alaves
Friday, March 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas
58.01% (0.256 0.26)22.76% (0.047999999999998 0.05)19.23% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.2% (-0.655 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-0.62 -0.62)47.79% (0.625 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.575 -0.57)69.98% (0.57900000000001 0.58)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (-0.128 -0.13)16.19% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (-0.238 -0.24)45.66% (0.241 0.24)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.08% (-0.685 -0.68)38.92% (0.689 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35% (-0.654 -0.65)75.65% (0.658 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 58%
    Las Palmas 19.23%
    Draw 22.76%
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.34% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 58%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.162 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.76%
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 19.23%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas

Celta Vigo
86.8%
Draw
9.3%
Las Palmas
3.9%
129
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Las Palmas
0-1
Celta Vigo

Silva (45+1'), Mata (70'), Campana (82')
Iglesias (28')
Beltran (32'), Manquillo (42'), Moriba (52'), Aspas (54'), Mingueza (55'), Douvikas (75')
Moriba (54'), Aspas (56')
Apr 20, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 32
Celta Vigo
4-1
Las Palmas
Aspas (37', 76'), Swedberg (39'), Douvikas (71')
Strand Larsen (66')
Herzog (11')
Oct 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Las Palmas
2-1
Celta Vigo
Viera (84' pen.), Cardona (90+7')
Marmol (74'), Cardona (90+8')
Douvikas (67')
Starfelt (83')
Mar 5, 2018 8pm
Oct 16, 2017 8pm
Las Palmas
2-5
Celta Vigo
Vitolo (90'), Remy (90')
Bigas (51'), Aquilani (61')
Mor (16'), Aspas (20', 49', 76'), Hernandez (71')
Jozabed (27')
Blanco (52')
rhs 2.0


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