La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 23, 2025 at 6pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Williams (5')
Berchiche (11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bajcetic (27'), McBurnie (53'), Suarez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, April 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, April 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Las Palmas
73.62% ( 0.61)	16.5% ( -0.3)	9.88% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 47.44% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.06% (

0.49)

39.94% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.7% (

0.51)

62.3% (

-0.51)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.62% (

0.27)

9.38% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.42% (

0.64)

31.57% (

-0.64)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.35% (

-0.28)

47.64% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.03% (

-0.2)

82.97% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 73.61%

Las Palmas 9.88%

Draw 16.5%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Las Palmas
2-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.66% Total : 73.61%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.75% Total : 16.5%	0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 9.88%