La Liga Gameweek 33
Athletic Bilbao
Apr 23, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
Las Palmas
  • Inaki Williams 5' goal
  • Yuri Berchiche 11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Bajcetic 27'
  • yellowcard Oli McBurnie 53'
  • yellowcard Alex Suarez 77'

Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Oihan Sancet

Las Palmas

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 8.00pm
Las Palmas 1 - 0 Atletico
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Fabio Silva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 73.62% ▲ (+0.61)
Draw 16.5% ▼ (-0.31)
Las Palmas 9.88% ▼ (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.44% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.06% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 39.94% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 37.7% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 3.5 62.3% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 4.5 20.32% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 4.5 79.68% ▼ (-0.40)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 90.62% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 0.5 9.38% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 1.5 68.42% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 31.57% ▼ (-0.65)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5 52.35% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 0.5 47.64% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 1.5 17.03% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 82.97% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 73.61%
Draw 16.5%
Las Palmas 9.88%
Athletic Bilbao
2-0 @ 12.51% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 73.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 16.5%
Las Palmas
0-1 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.11)
1-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 9.88%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 5
Las Palmas
Sep 15, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Gran Canaria
Athletic Bilbao
  • Alex Suarez 27' yellowcard
  • Sandro Ramirez 58' goal
  • Alex Munoz 83' goal
  • goal Oihan Sancet 7'
  • yellowcard Mikel Jauregizar 22'
  • goal Nico Williams 30'
  • yellowcard Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 45'+2'
  • redcard Mikel Jauregizar 56'
  • goal Aitor Paredes 76'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Las Palmas
Mar 10, 2024 3.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Gran Canaria
Athletic Bilbao
  • Saul Coco 64' yellowcard
  • Marc Cardona 81' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Valles 82' yellowcard
  • goal Gorka Guruzeta 31'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 48'
  • goal Saul Coco 65' (OG)
  • yellowcard Oscar de Marcos 67'
  • yellowcard Aitor Paredes 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
Dec 20, 2023 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
Las Palmas
  • Unai Gomez 90'+4' goal
  • Inaki Williams 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Araujo 38'
  • yellowcard Maximo Perrone 68'
  • yellowcard Sergi Cardona 90'+6'
La Liga
Athletic Bilbao
Feb 9, 2018 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Las Palmas
  • Aritz Aduriz 12' yellowcard
  • Enric Saborit 51' yellowcard
  • Kepa Arrizabalaga 52' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ximo Navarro 12'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Calleri 41'
  • yellowcard Michel Macedo 59'
  • yellowcard Leandro Chichizola 79'
La Liga
Las Palmas
Sep 17, 2017 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Athletic Bilbao
  • Jonathan Calleri 58' yellowcard
  • Oussama Tannane 63' yellowcard
  • Loic Remy 87' goal
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 60'
  • yellowcard Aritz Aduriz 64'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 77'
La Liga
Athletic Bilbao
Apr 14, 2017 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Las Palmas
  • Mikel San Jose 7' goal
  • Iker Muniain 9' goal
  • Aritz Aduriz 18' goal
  • Iker Muniain 58' goal
  • Aritz Aduriz 59' goal
  • Mikel San Jose 66' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Bigas 12'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Viera 60'
  • yellowcard Marko Livaja 89'

Form Data

Real Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 0 Rangers
Athletic Bilbao 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Rangers 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Villarreal 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 0 Osasuna
Las Palmas 1 - 0 Atletico
Getafe 1 - 3 Las Palmas
Las Palmas 1 - 3 Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Las Palmas
Las Palmas 2 - 2 Alaves
Betis 1 - 0 Las Palmas