Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.