La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 19, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
1 - 0
Atletico

Munoz (90+3')
Munoz (71'), Essugo (77'), Mata (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Galan (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 1-3 Las Palmas
Saturday, April 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Valladolid
Monday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Atletico Madrid
14.07% ( -0.09)	18.99% ( -0.03)	66.94% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.56% (

-0.08)

40.43% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.19% (

-0.08)

62.81% (

0.08)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.1% (

-0.18)

40.9% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.53% (

-0.17)

77.47% (

0.17)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.82% (

0.01)

11.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.33% (

0.02)

35.67% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 14.07%

Atletico Madrid 66.92%

Draw 18.99%

Las Palmas	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 14.07%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.99%	0-2 @ 10.97% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 66.92%