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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 35.76% ( | 23.26% ( | 40.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.6% ( | 37.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.38% ( | 59.61% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( | 21.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.98% ( | 54.02% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( | 18.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.91% ( | 50.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 1-3 @ 4.82% ( 2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0-4 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.57% Total : 40.97% |