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Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 10, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Heerenveen

RKC Waalwijk
3 - 1
Heerenveen

Margaret (10'), Oukili (75'), Lokesa (79')
van Gelderen (71'), Lokesa (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nicolaescu (36' pen.)
Braude (43')
Sebaoui (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 6-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, May 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawHeerenveen
35.76% (-0.506 -0.51)23.26% (-0.125 -0.13)40.97% (0.627 0.63)
Both teams to score 64.08% (0.388 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.6% (0.538 0.54)37.39% (-0.543 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.38% (0.577 0.58)59.61% (-0.582 -0.58)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)21.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)54.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (0.502 0.5)18.72% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (0.839 0.84)50.08% (-0.843 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 35.76%
    Heerenveen 40.97%
    Draw 23.26%
RKC WaalwijkDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 8% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.75% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.075 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 40.97%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Heerenveen

RKC Waalwijk
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Heerenveen
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 14
Heerenveen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Smans (27')
Ihattaren (90+1' pen.)
Mar 30, 2024 7pm
Aug 12, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 1
Heerenveen
3-1
RKC Waalwijk
Nicolaescu (24'), Bochniewicz (30'), Sahraoui (43')
Kramer (60' pen.)
Felida (79')
Feb 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 23
Heerenveen
1-4
RKC Waalwijk
Jozefzoon (61', 90+4'), Lelieveld (75'), Oukili (77')
Jan 7, 2023 3.30pm
rhs 2.0


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