Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Heerenveen
Apr 27, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Ion Nicolaescu 53' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 73'
  • yellowcard Vito van Crooij 76'
  • yellowcard Dirk Proper 82'
  • yellowcard Basar Onal 84'

Heerenveen vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 7.00pm
Heerenveen 2 - 1 Almere City
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ion Nicolaescu

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2025 7.00pm
Nijmegen 2 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Vito van Crooij

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result

Heerenveen 52.29% ▼ (-0.47)
Draw 22.3% ▼ (-0.18)
NEC 25.41% ▲ (+0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.3% ▲ (+1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.61% ▲ (+1.43)
Under 2.5 38.39% ▼ (-1.43)
Over 3.5 39.32% ▲ (+1.50)
Under 3.5 60.67% ▼ (-1.50)
Over 4.5 21.6% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 4.5 78.4% ▼ (-1.19)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 85.17% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 0.5 14.82% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 1.5 56.88% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 43.12% ▼ (-0.67)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 71.97% ▲ (+1.26)
Under 0.5 28.03% ▼ (-1.26)
Over 1.5 36.32% ▲ (+1.57)
Under 1.5 63.68% ▼ (-1.58)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 52.29%
Draw 22.29%
NEC 25.41%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.45)
2-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.33)
3-1 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.16)
4-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 52.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.29%
NEC
1-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 25.41%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
Oct 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Heerenveen
  • Vito van Crooij 3' goal
  • Bram Nuytinck 53' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 65' goal
  • yellowcard Dimitris Rallis 46'
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 78'
  • yellowcard Amara Conde 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
Mar 10, 2024 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Heerenveen
  • Koki Ogawa 67' goal
  • Rober 68' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Patrik Walemark 6' goal
  • Patrik Walemark 6' goal
  • Mats Kohlert 16' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 16' yellowcard
  • goal Bas Dost 45'+2'
  • goal Bas Dost 45'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
May 6, 2023 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Heerenveen
  • Magnus Mattsson 37' goal
  • Landry Dimata 61' goal
  • goal Thom Haye 27'
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 82'
  • goal Antoine Colassin 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Heerenveen
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Nijmegen
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Heerenveen
Feb 13, 2022 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Nijmegen
  • Thom Haye 53' yellowcard
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 77' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Dresevic 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edgar Barreto 8'
  • goal Elayis Tavsan 41'
  • yellowcard Bart van Rooij 73'
  • yellowcard Lasse Schone 90'+7'

Form Data

Heerenveen 2 - 1 Almere City
Sparta 3 - 1 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 3 - 1 Willem II
Utrecht 2 - 0 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 1 - 1 Heracles
PSV 2 - 1 Heerenveen
Nijmegen 2 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
Sparta 2 - 0 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 3 - 3 AZ
Utrecht 0 - 1 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 2 - 3 Go Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord 0 - 0 Nijmegen