Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 27, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Nicolaescu (53' pen.)
Brouwers (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Verdonk (73'), van Crooij (76'), Proper (82'), Onal (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-1 Almere City
Saturday, April 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
Friday, April 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	NEC
52.29% ( -0.47)	22.3% ( -0.17)	25.41% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 61.3% (

1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.61% (

1.42)

38.39% (

-1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.32% (

1.49)

60.67% (

-1.5)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.17% (

0.34)

14.82% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.88% (

0.66)

43.12% (

-0.67)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97% (

1.25)

28.03% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32% (

1.57)

63.68% (

-1.57)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 52.29%

NEC 25.41%

Draw 22.29%

Heerenveen	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.12% Total : 52.29%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.61% Total : 25.41%