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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 73.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Heerenveen.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
| 73.36% ( | 15.9% ( | 10.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.77% ( | 34.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.88% ( | 56.12% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.97% ( | 8.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.72% ( | 28.28% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% ( | 42.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.47% ( | 78.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 3-0 @ 9.04% ( 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 4-0 @ 5.7% ( 4-1 @ 4.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 5-0 @ 2.88% ( 5-1 @ 2.49% ( 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 6-0 @ 1.21% ( 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 6-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 73.36% | 1-1 @ 7.38% ( 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.9% | 1-2 @ 3.19% ( 0-1 @ 2.92% ( 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 1-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 10.74% |