Eredivisie | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
3 - 1
Heerenveen

van Bergen (29'), Lauritsen (69' pen.), Thorisson (84')
Bakari (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jahanbakhsh (90+4' pen.)
Braude (4'), Kohlert (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 2-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 6 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 Willem II
Friday, April 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Heerenveen
53.36% ( 0.06)	23.39% ( -0.01)	23.24% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.01% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43% (

45.57% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1% (

67.9% (

-0)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97% (

0.02)

17.03% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.83% (

0.04)

47.17% (

-0.04)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.3% (

-0.04)

33.7% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64% (

-0.05)

70.36% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 53.36%

Heerenveen 23.24%

Draw 23.38%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Heerenveen
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.36%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 23.24%