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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Heracles |
| 59.56% ( | 21.24% ( | 19.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.87% ( | 41.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( | 63.52% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( | 13.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.55% ( | 40.44% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.92% ( | 35.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.17% ( | 71.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 5-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 59.56% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.2% |