AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PEC Zwolle

Sparta
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Lauritsen (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aertssen (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Sparta
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle
69.36% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.55% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)12.1% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.17% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.85% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)43.15% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)65.55% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)11.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.95% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.31% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)45.69% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.52% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)81.48% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 69.36%
    PEC Zwolle 12.1%
    Draw 18.55%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle
2-0 @ 12.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.92% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 4.86% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 69.36%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.55%
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 12.1%

How you voted: Sparta vs PEC Zwolle

Sparta Rotterdam
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
PEC Zwolle
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Sparta
Monteiro (57')
Floranus (5'), Monteiro (32'), Mbayo (74')

van Aanholt (74'), Olij (90+6')
Feb 4, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 20
Sparta
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Lam (26'), Van den Berg (70')
de Rooij (53'), Fichtinger (64'), Velanas (85')
Aug 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
PEC Zwolle
1-2
Sparta
Thy (82')
Kersten (90+7'), Vellios (90+5')
Kersten (13' og.), Lauritsen (70')
Warmerdam (33'), de Guzman (54'), Kitolano (57'), Bakari (68')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
Sparta
2-0
PEC Zwolle
Auassar (3'), Van Crooij (24')
Abels (57'), Thy (63')

Clement (57')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Sparta
Redan (8')
Huiberts (56')
Van Crooij (1')
Smeets (81'), Goudmijn (88')