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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PEC Zwolle

Sparta
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Lauritsen (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aertssen (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Sparta
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 PEC Zwolle

Given what is at stake here, we are expecting a keenly-contested affair with a plethora of chances at both ends. That said, we can also see Sparta just about doing enough to edge out Zwolle and come away with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle
69.36% (0.040000000000006 0.04) 18.55% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 12.1% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.17% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.85% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)43.15% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)65.55% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)11.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.95% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.31% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)45.69% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.52% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)81.48% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 69.36%
    PEC Zwolle 12.1%
    Draw 18.55%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle
2-0 @ 12.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.92% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 4.86% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 69.36%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.55%
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 12.1%

How you voted: Sparta vs PEC Zwolle

Sparta Rotterdam
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
PEC Zwolle
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Sparta
Monteiro (57')
Floranus (5'), Monteiro (32'), Mbayo (74')

van Aanholt (74'), Olij (90+6')
Feb 4, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 20
Sparta
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Lam (26'), Van den Berg (70')
de Rooij (53'), Fichtinger (64'), Velanas (85')
Aug 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
PEC Zwolle
1-2
Sparta
Thy (82')
Kersten (90+7'), Vellios (90+5')
Kersten (13' og.), Lauritsen (70')
Warmerdam (33'), de Guzman (54'), Kitolano (57'), Bakari (68')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
Sparta
2-0
PEC Zwolle
Auassar (3'), Van Crooij (24')
Abels (57'), Thy (63')

Clement (57')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Sparta
Redan (8')
Huiberts (56')
Van Crooij (1')
Smeets (81'), Goudmijn (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV29204586335364
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht30178557421559
5FC Twente29139755411448
6AZ AlkmaarAZ29137947331446
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Heracles29811103648-1235
10Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
11NECNijmegen2996144243-133
12Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
13Groningen2988132844-1632
14PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
15NAC BredaNAC Breda2987143149-1831
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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