/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fspalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwillog.png)
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Tobias Lauritsen
20'
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Mitchell van Bergen
63'
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Said Bakari
64'
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Tobias Lauritsen
68'
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Kristian Hlynsson
90'
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Jesse Bosch
80'
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Willem II Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 57.96%
0-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.23%
1-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 19.8%
