Eredivisie | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
4 - 0
Willem II

Lauritsen (20', 68'), van Bergen (63'), Hlynsson (90')
Bakari (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bosch (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Sparta
Friday, February 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 1-3 Groningen
Saturday, February 15 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Willem II
57.97% ( 0.23)	22.23% ( -0.09)	19.8% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 53.86% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.29% (

0.18)

44.71% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.93% (

0.17)

67.07% (

-0.17)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.86% (

0.14)

15.14% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.28% (

0.26)

43.71% (

-0.26)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.47% (

-0.05)

36.52% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.69% (

-0.05)

73.31% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 57.96%

Willem II 19.8%

Draw 22.23%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.96%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.23%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.8%