Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Feb 15, 2025 at 8pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
1 - 3
Groningen

Bosch (49')
Boris (45')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Kwakman (5'), Resink (17'), de Jonge (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Willem II
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 2-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, February 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Groningen
31.8% ( -0.09)	24.95% ( -0.04)	43.25% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 56.72% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.51% (

0.14)

46.49% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.24% (

0.13)

68.77% (

-0.13)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

27.73% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.7% (

0.01)

63.3% (

-0)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49% (

0.12)

21.51% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.44% (

0.18)

54.57% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Willem II 31.8%

Groningen 43.25%

Draw 24.95%

Willem II	Draw	Groningen
1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.8%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.25%