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FC Utrecht
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FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Heerenveen

Utrecht
2 - 0
Heerenveen

Rodriguez (22'), Soyset Hopland (58' og.)
Horemans (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Braude (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 0-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Heracles
Saturday, March 15 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawHeerenveen
52.73% (-0.163 -0.16)22.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)24.65% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 59.33% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.38% (0.188 0.19)40.62% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (0.193 0.19)63.01% (-0.192 -0.19)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (0.010999999999996 0.01)15.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.67% (0.021999999999998 0.02)44.33% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (0.23700000000001 0.24)29.82% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (0.288 0.29)65.9% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 52.73%
    Heerenveen 24.65%
    Draw 22.61%
FC UtrechtDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 24.65%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Heerenveen

FC Utrecht
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Heerenveen
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Heerenveen
1-1
Utrecht
Trenskow (82')
Kersten (56'), Bochniewicz (64'), van Ee (67'), Bozdogan (70')
Romeny (3')
Jans (56'), Romeny (64'), Braude (69')
Apr 7, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 29
Heerenveen
2-3
Utrecht
Walemark (90', 90+4')
Braude (70')
Braude (77')
Lidberg (37'), Lammers (48', 83')
Jensen (39')
Aug 20, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 2
Utrecht
0-2
Heerenveen
Sahraoui (69'), Karlsbakk (90+2')
van Ottele (45+2')
Feb 4, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 20
Utrecht
1-0
Heerenveen
Douvikas (69' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Heerenveen
1-2
Utrecht
Douvikas (44'), Sagnan (66')
rhs 2.0


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