Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 11.15am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Galgenwaard
  • Miguel Rodriguez 22' goal
  • Siebe Horemans 42' yellowcard
  • Nikolai Soyset Hopland 58' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 38'

FC Utrecht vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.30pm
Utrecht 0 - 1 Nijmegen
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Paxten Aaronson

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 8.00pm
Heerenveen 1 - 1 Heracles
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ion Nicolaescu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result

FC Utrecht 52.73% (-0.17)
Draw 22.61% (-0.01)
Heerenveen 24.65% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.33% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.38% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 40.62% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 36.99% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 63.01% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 19.78% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 80.22% (-0.15)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5 84.53% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 15.46% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 55.67% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 44.33% (-0.03)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 70.18% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 29.82% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 34.1% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 65.9% (-0.29)

Score analysis

FC Utrecht 52.73%
Draw 22.61%
Heerenveen 24.65%
FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.66% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 52.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.61%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 6.3% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.58% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.38% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 24.65%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Sam Kersten 56' yellowcard
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 64' yellowcard
  • Espen van Ee 67' yellowcard
  • Can Bozdogan 70' yellowcard
  • Jacob Trenskow 82' goal
  • goal Ole Romeny 3'
  • yellowcard Ron Jans 56'
  • yellowcard Ole Romeny 64'
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 69'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Oliver Braude 70' yellowcard
  • Oliver Braude 77' redcard
  • Patrik Walemark 90' goal
  • Patrik Walemark 90'+4' goal
  • goal Isac Lidberg 37'
  • yellowcard Victor Jensen 39'
  • goal Sam Lammers 48'
  • goal Sam Lammers 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 11.15am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Galgenwaard
  • yellowcard Syb van Ottele 45'+2'
  • goal Osame Sahraoui 69'
  • goal Daniel Karlsbakk 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anastasios Douvikas 69' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 33' goal
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 44'
  • goal Modibo Sagnan 66'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2022 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 80' goal
  • goal Bart Ramselaar 58'
  • goal Mike van der Hoorn 69'
  • yellowcard Mike van der Hoorn 78'
  • yellowcard Sander van de Streek 90'+1'