/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Futrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
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Thomas Ouwejan
74'
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Vito van Crooij
82'
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Calvin Verdonk
90'
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Basar Onal
90'+1'
FC Utrecht vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Futrecht.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.37%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result
FC Utrecht
52.37%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
23.41%
▲
(+0.01)
NEC
24.22%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
56.12%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.36%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
44.65%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
32.99%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
67.01%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 4.5
16.79%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
83.21%
▲
(+0.09)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5
82.96%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
17.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
52.79%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
47.21%
▲
(+0.02)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
67.66%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
32.35%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
31.15%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
68.86%
▲
(+0.17)
Score analysis
FC Utrecht
52.37%
Draw
23.41%
NEC
24.22%
FC Utrecht
1-0
@
9.76%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 52.37%
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 52.37%
Draw
1-1
@
11.01%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.41%
0-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.41%
NEC
0-1
@
6.22%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 24.22%