Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 15, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
0 - 1
Nijmegen

FT(HT: 0-0)

van Crooij (82' pen.)
Ouwejan (74'), Onal (90+1'), Verdonk (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Willem II 2-3 Utrecht
Sunday, March 9 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-3 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.37%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	NEC
52.37% ( 0.1)	23.41% ( 0)	24.22% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 56.12% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.36% (

-0.11)

44.65% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.99% (

-0.1)

67.01% (

0.11)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

-0)

17.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.79% (

-0.01)

47.21% (

0.01)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66% (

-0.14)

32.35% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15% (

-0.16)

68.86% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 52.37%

NEC 24.22%

Draw 23.41%

FC Utrecht	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 52.37%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.22%