Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 9, 2025 at 11.15am UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
2 - 3
Utrecht

Boris (17'), Thor Sigurgeirsson (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Haller (67'), Ohio (75'), Blake (85')
Blake (86'), Ohio (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 4-0 Willem II
Sunday, March 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, March 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 23.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	FC Utrecht
23.02% ( 0.16)	22.15% ( -0.18)	54.83% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.94% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.76% (

1.01)

40.24% (

-1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.39% (

1.04)

62.61% (

-1.03)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.04% (

0.7)

30.96% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.74% (

0.81)

67.26% (

-0.81)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37% (

0.36)

14.63% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.24% (

0.68)

42.76% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Willem II 23.02%

FC Utrecht 54.83%

Draw 22.14%

Willem II	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.02%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.14%	1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 54.83%