Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.