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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 50.09% ( | 23.09% | 26.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.13% ( | 40.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.74% ( | 63.26% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( | 16.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.8% ( | 46.2% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( | 28.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( | 64.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 26.82% |