Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 6, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Roefs (33' og.), Thorisson (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van Crooij (7'), Nuytinck (70'), Verdonk (90+4')
van Crooij (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 0-3 Sparta
Saturday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-3 AZ
Saturday, March 29 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	NEC
50.74% ( 0.07)	24.1% ( -0)	25.16% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 54.84% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

-0.03)

46.81% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.93% (

-0.03)

69.07% (

0.04)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

0.02)

18.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33% (

0.02)

49.67% (

-0.02)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.27% (

-0.07)

32.74% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71% (

-0.08)

69.29% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 50.74%

NEC 25.16%

Draw 24.1%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.74%	1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.16%