/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
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Vito van Crooij
10'
-
Bryan Linssen
43'
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Sontje Hansen
45'
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Kento Shiogai
63'
-
Vito van Crooij
71'
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Kodai Sano
76'
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Ibrahim Sadiq
4'
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Ernest Poku
32'
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Kristijan Belic
34'
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Wouter Goes
43'
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Troy Parrott
46'
NEC vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
NEC
34.15%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
23.91%
▼
(-0.01)
AZ Alkmaar
41.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
61.27%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.09%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
40.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
19.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
80.44%
▼
(-0.01)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
76.36%
Under 0.5
23.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
42.27%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
57.73%
▼
(-0.01)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
80.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
19.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
48.19%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
51.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
NEC
34.15%
Draw
23.91%
AZ Alkmaar
41.94%
NEC
2-1
@
7.88%
1-0 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.15%
1-0 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.15%
Draw
1-1
@
10.92%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.91%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.91%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2
@
8.86%
0-1 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94%
2-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 41.94%
0-1 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94%
2-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 41.94%