Eredivisie | Gameweek 27

Mar 29, 2025 at 8pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
3 - 3
AZ

van Crooij (10', 71'), Shiogai (63')
Linssen (43'), Hansen (45'), Sano (76')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sadiq (4'), Poku (32'), Parrott (46')
Belic (34'), Goes (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 0-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 AZ
Sunday, March 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
34.15% ( 0)	23.91% ( -0)	41.94% ( -0)

Both teams to score 61.27% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.09% (

-0)

40.91% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.7%

63.29% (

-0)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36%

23.64% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27% (

57.73% (

-0)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23% (

-0)

19.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.19% (

-0)

51.81% (

-0)

Score Analysis

NEC 34.15%

AZ Alkmaar 41.94%

Draw 23.91%

NEC	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.15%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.13% Total : 41.94%