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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Almere City |
| 48.64% ( | 25.1% ( | 26.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% ( | 50.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% ( | 72.09% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% ( | 20.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.8% ( | 53.2% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( | 33.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( | 70.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Almere City |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.63% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.35% Total : 26.27% |