Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.