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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 6.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Almere City |
| 83.53% ( | 10.33% ( | 6.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.31% ( | 21.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.53% ( | 40.47% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.29% ( | 3.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.07% ( | 15.93% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( | 42.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.16% ( | 78.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Almere City |
| 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 3-1 @ 8.04% 4-0 @ 7.73% ( 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 4-1 @ 6.62% ( 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 5-0 @ 5.09% ( 5-1 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 4-2 @ 2.83% ( 6-0 @ 2.8% ( 6-1 @ 2.39% ( 5-2 @ 1.87% ( 7-0 @ 1.32% ( 7-1 @ 1.13% ( 6-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 4.44% Total : 83.53% | 1-1 @ 4.45% ( 2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0-0 @ 1.58% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 10.33% | 1-2 @ 1.9% ( 0-1 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 6.14% |