Eredivisie | Gameweek 29

Apr 11, 2025 at 7pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
2 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Sano (46'), Linssen (90+2')
Ouaissa (65'), Sandler (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kramer (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 2-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 6 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-0 Heracles
Sunday, April 6 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 3-1 (6.53%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NEC in this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
53.75% ( -0.88)	21.03% ( 0.21)	25.22% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 65.8% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.59% (

-0.37)

32.41% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.95% (

-0.43)

54.04% (

0.43)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.68% (

-0.38)

12.32% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.89% (

-0.79)

38.11% (

0.79)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

0.27)

24.95% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.4% (

0.37)

59.59% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

NEC 53.75%

RKC Waalwijk 25.22%

Draw 21.03%

NEC	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 53.75%	1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.03%	1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.22%