Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Apr 1, 2025 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 2
RKC Waalwijk

Parrott (13'), Meerdink (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kramer (62'), Lokesa (82')
van der Venne (42'), van Eijma (85'), Lokesa (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-3 AZ
Saturday, March 29 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, March 29 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.83%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
76.83% ( 0.56)	14.52% ( -0.26)	8.65% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.7% (

0.25)

34.3% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.8% (

0.27)

56.2% (

-0.27)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.67% (

0.17)

7.32% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.53% (

0.44)

26.47% (

-0.44)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.65% (

-0.48)

46.34% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.01% (

-0.37)

81.98% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 76.82%

RKC Waalwijk 8.65%

Draw 14.52%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 76.82%	1-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.87% Total : 14.52%	1-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 8.65%