Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 25, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
0 - 4
Utrecht

Roemeratoe (66')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Fraulo (15'), Haller (19'), Rodriguez (27'), Min (88')
Rodriguez (24'), Didden (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
Friday, April 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 4-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	FC Utrecht
26.41% ( 0.25)	22.76% ( 0.15)	50.83% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 60.67% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.33% (

-0.49)

39.67% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.98% (

-0.51)

62.02% (

0.52)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

-0.08)

27.96% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41% (

-0.1)

63.59% (

0.11)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.22% (

-0.31)

15.78% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.08% (

-0.58)

44.91% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 26.41%

FC Utrecht 50.83%

Draw 22.75%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 26.41%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.9% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.69% Total : 50.83%