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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 45.83% ( | 22.96% ( | 31.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.56% ( | 37.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.34% ( | 59.66% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( | 16.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.29% ( | 46.71% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( | 23.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.21% ( | 57.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 4.34% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 3-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.21% |