Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Groningen
May 3, 2025 7.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 0
FT Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium
RKC Waalwijk
  • Leandro Bacuna 7' goal
  • Noam Emeran 46' goal
  • Stije Resink 45'+2' goal
  • Stije Resink 50' goal
  • Thom van Bergen 60' goal
  • Mats Seuntjens 89' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Lelieveld 18'
  • goal Godfried Roemeratoe 67'

Groningen vs RKC Waalwijk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 7.00pm
Groningen 4 - 1 Heracles
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Jorg Schreuders

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2025 5.45pm
RKC Waalwijk 0 - 4 Utrecht
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Oskar Zawada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result

Groningen 56.34% ▼ (-2.69)
Draw 21.88% ▲ (+0.46)
RKC Waalwijk 21.78% ▲ (+2.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.18% ▲ (+2.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.54% ▲ (+1.01)
Under 2.5 40.46% ▼ (-1.01)
Over 3.5 37.17% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 3.5 62.83% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 4.5 19.91% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 4.5 80.09% ▼ (-0.79)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 85.78% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 0.5 14.22% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 58.04% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 1.5 41.96% ▲ (+0.99)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5 67.83% ▲ (+2.75)
Under 0.5 32.17% ▼ (-2.75)
Over 1.5 31.34% ▲ (+3.00)
Under 1.5 68.66% ▼ (-3.00)

Score analysis

Groningen 56.34%
Draw 21.88%
RKC Waalwijk 21.78%
Groningen
2-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.60)
2-0 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.75)
3-1 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.60)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.18)
4-1 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.35)
4-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 56.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.37)
0-0 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.88%
RKC Waalwijk
1-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.47)
0-1 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.33)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.29)
0-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-91.89)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.78%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 2
RKC Waalwijk
Aug 17, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mandemakers Stadion
Groningen
  • Richard van der Venne 48' yellowcard
  • Denilho Cleonise 55' yellowcard
  • Richard van der Venne 89' goal
  • Oskar Zawada 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Jorg Schreuders 11'
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 67'
  • goal Thom van Bergen 77'
  • yellowcard Finn Stam 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
RKC Waalwijk
Apr 15, 2023 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Groningen
  • Michiel Kramer 64' goal
  • Michiel Kramer 86' goal
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 67'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Groningen
Oct 7, 2022 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
RKC Waalwijk
  • Ricardo Pepi 14' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 76' goal
  • goal Dario van den Buijs 38'
  • goal Mika Biereth 61'
  • goal Mika Biereth 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
RKC Waalwijk
May 1, 2022 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Groningen
  • Finn Stokkers 16' goal
  • Finn Stokkers 25' goal
  • Richard van der Venne 39' goal
  • yellowcard Neraysho Kasanwirjo 21'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 58'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Groningen
Nov 7, 2021 11.15am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
RKC Waalwijk
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 85' goal
  • Bart van Hintum 90' yellowcard
  • goal Michiel Kramer 14'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Touba 34'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
RKC Waalwijk
Mar 20, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Groningen
  • Thijs Oosting 5' goal
  • Thijs Oosting 15' goal
  • Ahmed Touba 66' yellowcard
  • Sylla Sow 86' goal
  • goal Ahmed El Messaoudi 33'
  • yellowcard Alessio Da Cruz 72'
  • yellowcard Ko Itakura 90'

Form Data

Groningen 4 - 1 Heracles
Utrecht 3 - 1 Groningen
Groningen 1 - 3 PSV
Feyenoord 4 - 1 Groningen
NAC Breda 1 - 1 Groningen
Groningen 1 - 0 Sittard
RKC Waalwijk 0 - 4 Utrecht
Nijmegen 2 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
RKC Waalwijk 0 - 0 Heracles
AZ 2 - 2 RKC Waalwijk
PEC Zwolle 2 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
RKC Waalwijk 0 - 3 PSV