Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium

Groningen
1 - 0
Sittard

Darri Willumsson (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rosier (33'), Da Cruz (45+1'), Dahlhaus (54'), Michut (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 1-1 FC Twente
Saturday, March 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Heracles
Saturday, March 8 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
52.71% ( -0.14)	24.95% ( 0.04)	22.34% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 49.07% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.11% (

-0.04)

52.89% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.49% (

-0.04)

74.5% (

0.04)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95% (

-0.07)

20.05% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.73% (

-0.12)

52.27% (

0.12)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.38% (

0.08)

38.62% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.64% (

0.08)

75.36% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Groningen 52.7%

Fortuna Sittard 22.34%

Draw 24.94%

Groningen	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 52.7%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.34%