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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Groningen |
| 61.64% ( | 20.52% ( | 17.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( | 40.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( | 62.41% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% ( | 12.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.49% ( | 38.5% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% ( | 35.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% ( | 72.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 5-0 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 3.67% Total : 61.64% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 1-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.84% |