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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Groningen |
| 34.91% ( | 25.36% ( | 39.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.51% ( | 47.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.3% ( | 69.7% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( | 26.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% ( | 61.43% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( | 23.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( | 57.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 2-1 @ 8% ( 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.91% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.73% |