Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 23, 2025 at 7pm UK

Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium

Groningen
4 - 1
Heracles

Rente (4'), Schreuders (16'), Bacuna (50' pen.), De Keersmaecker (59' og.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bruns (20')
Hornkamp (64'), Bruns (66'), Mesik (77'), Wieckhoff (81'), Podgoreanu (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 3-1 Groningen
Sunday, April 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 1-0 AZ
Sunday, April 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Heracles
58.85% ( 0.21)	23.12% ( -0.07)	18.03% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 48.05% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.09% (

0.05)

50.91% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.21% (

0.05)

72.79% (

-0.05)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83% (

0.09)

16.99% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.89% (

0.17)

47.11% (

-0.17)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.88% (

-0.15)

42.11% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.46% (

-0.13)

78.53% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Groningen 58.85%

Heracles 18.03%

Draw 23.11%

Groningen	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 58.85%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.11%	0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.03%