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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Heracles |
58.85% (![]() | 23.12% (![]() | 18.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.09% (![]() | 50.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.21% (![]() | 72.79% (![]() |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83% (![]() | 16.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% (![]() | 47.11% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.88% (![]() | 42.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.46% (![]() | 78.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 12.68% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.24% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 58.85% | 1-1 @ 10.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 100 | 38 | 62 | 76 |
2 | Ajax | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 65 | 32 | 33 | 75 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 76 | 36 | 40 | 68 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 63 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 56 |
6 | FC Twente | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 54 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 51 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 40 |
9 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 40 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 40 |
11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Groningen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 39 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 38 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 32 |
16 | Willem II | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 25 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 22 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 22 | 63 | -41 | 21 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |